Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.034212 0.039851 0.046057 0.053384 0.061786 0.071110 0.082231
2025-08-31 0.025116 0.032286 0.040909 0.052001 0.065850 0.082524 0.104073
2025-09-07 0.020590 0.028824 0.039510 0.054300 0.074131 0.099681 0.134954
2025-09-14 0.016594 0.025088 0.036889 0.054317 0.079198 0.113203 0.162897
2025-09-21 0.013262 0.021518 0.033726 0.052846 0.081724 0.123316 0.187235
2025-09-28 0.010975 0.018994 0.031544 0.052267 0.085183 0.134849 0.214641
2025-10-05 0.009920 0.018179 0.031762 0.055256 0.094237 0.155466 0.257650
2025-10-12 0.008870 0.017154 0.031435 0.057227 0.101793 0.174437 0.299983
2025-10-19 0.007453 0.015215 0.029235 0.055663 0.103192 0.183526 0.327174
2025-10-26 0.006440 0.013832 0.027777 0.055135 0.106186 0.195400 0.359976
2025-11-02 0.005459 0.012327 0.025853 0.053441 0.106801 0.203109 0.386185
2025-11-09 0.004683 0.011095 0.024253 0.052107 0.107843 0.211545 0.414312
2025-11-16 0.004137 0.010274 0.023382 0.052144 0.111614 0.225539 0.454375
2025-11-23 0.003549 0.009250 0.021932 0.050792 0.112472 0.234142 0.485213
2025-11-30 0.003320 0.009025 0.022171 0.053042 0.120918 0.258208 0.548094
2025-12-07 0.002960 0.008409 0.021439 0.053059 0.124661 0.273289 0.594638
2025-12-14 0.002559 0.007607 0.020148 0.051621 0.125061 0.281566 0.628152
2025-12-21 0.002262 0.007023 0.019287 0.051054 0.127306 0.293854 0.671023
2025-12-28 0.002177 0.007012 0.019845 0.053978 0.137847 0.324803 0.756060
2026-01-04 0.002050 0.006851 0.019996 0.055906 0.146262 0.351857 0.834995
2026-01-11 0.001788 0.006236 0.018850 0.054377 0.146199 0.360028 0.873115
2026-01-18 0.001598 0.005804 0.018132 0.053860 0.148548 0.373860 0.925081
2026-01-25 0.001392 0.005273 0.017048 0.052202 0.147815 0.380442 0.961007